National Hurricane Center Products Guide

Understanding the different products issued by the National Hurricane Center helps you get the right information for your needs.

Public Advisory

What is it?

The Public Advisory is the primary product for the general public. It provides essential information in plain language about the storm's current status and forecast.

Key Information
  • Current location and intensity
  • Movement speed and direction
  • Forecast track and intensity
  • Watches and warnings in effect
  • Storm surge and rainfall expectations
  • Next advisory time
When is it issued?

Every 6 hours at 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM EDT
Every 3 hours when watches/warnings are in effect

Best For
  • General public
  • Emergency managers
  • Media
  • Quick updates
Remember

This is the official source for watches and warnings!

Forecast Discussion

What is it?

The Discussion provides the meteorological reasoning behind the forecast. It's written by forecasters for a technical audience.

Key Information
  • Analysis of current satellite and radar data
  • Model guidance evaluation
  • Forecast uncertainty and confidence
  • Reasoning for track and intensity forecast
  • Potential alternate scenarios
Technical Details

Includes discussion of:

  • Environmental conditions (shear, SSTs, moisture)
  • Model performance and trends
  • Forecast challenges
Best For
  • Weather enthusiasts
  • Meteorologists
  • Advanced users
  • Understanding uncertainty
Tip

Great for learning how forecasters think!

Marine Advisory

What is it?

Specifically designed for marine interests, providing detailed information about conditions at sea.

Key Information
  • Wind radii (34, 50, 64 kt winds)
  • Seas and swell heights
  • Marine warnings
  • Ship avoidance recommendations
Special Features
  • 12-ft seas radii
  • Maximum wind and seas in each quadrant
  • Forecast wind radii
Best For
  • Mariners
  • Shipping companies
  • Offshore operations
  • Cruise lines
Critical

Essential for vessel routing decisions!

Tropical Cyclone Update

What is it?

Special bulletins issued between regular advisories when significant changes occur.

When Issued
  • Significant change in storm intensity
  • Notable track adjustments
  • New watches or warnings
  • Landfall occurring
  • Based on new reconnaissance data
Format

Brief, focused updates highlighting only what has changed.

Important

Updates mean something significant has changed!

Timing

Can be issued at any time

Wind Speed Probabilities

What is it?

Statistical probabilities of experiencing tropical storm and hurricane force winds at specific locations.

Information Provided
  • Probability of 34 kt (39 mph) winds - Tropical Storm
  • Probability of 50 kt (58 mph) winds - Strong TS
  • Probability of 64 kt (74 mph) winds - Hurricane
Time Periods
  • Onset timing (when winds arrive)
  • Cumulative 5-day probabilities
  • Individual period probabilities
Best For
  • Risk assessment
  • Decision making
  • Preparation timing
  • Impact planning
Pro Tip

Use for go/no-go decisions based on your risk tolerance

Graphics Products

Cone of Uncertainty

Shows the probable path of the storm center. The cone represents the likely area the center will pass through, NOT the extent of impacts!

Wind Field Graphics

Display current and forecast extent of tropical storm and hurricane force winds.

Key Messages

Graphical overview of the main hazards and impacts in simple language.

Common Misconception

The cone does NOT show the only area that will be impacted! Dangerous conditions often extend well outside the cone.

Basin-Wide Analysis Tools

Saharan Air Layer (SAL)

The Saharan Air Layer is a mass of very dry, dusty air that forms over the Sahara Desert and moves westward across the Atlantic Ocean during hurricane season. It significantly impacts tropical cyclone development.

Why SAL Matters
  • Inhibits Development: Dry air and wind shear suppress storm formation
  • Weakens Storms: Can cause existing storms to weaken or dissipate
  • Seasonal Patterns: Most active June through August
  • Predictable: Moves in 3-5 day cycles across the Atlantic
Advanced Feature

Real-time Saharan Air Layer satellite imagery is available with Advanced or Professional plans. Upgrade now to access current dust tracking.

Understanding SAL Imagery
  • Dust RGB: Shows dust as vivid pink/magenta colors
  • Split Window IR: Reveals dust through temperature differences
  • Natural Color: Visible dust plumes and haze
  • Water Vapor: Shows dry air associated with dust
Quick Reference
Product Codes
  • Public Advisory - Essential storm information for the general public
  • Marine Advisory - Detailed information for mariners
  • Forecast Discussion - Technical analysis by forecasters
  • Tropical Cyclone Update - Quick updates between regular advisories
  • Wind Speed Probabilities - Statistical wind forecasts

Issue Times (EDT)

Regular: 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, 11 PM

Intermediate: 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, 8 PM

(When watches/warnings active)


Who Should Read What?
General Public
Public Advisory
Weather Enthusiasts
Forecast Discussion
Mariners
Marine Advisory
Decision Makers
Wind Speed Probabilities

Learn More