2-day Outlook — Central Pacific
Plain-language outlook
In the Central Pacific, two small areas—one several hundred miles south‑southeast of Hawaii and another well southwest—have a low (about 30%) chance in the next 48 hours of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm. If either does strengthen, it could bring heavier rain and possible localized flooding to parts of the Hawaiian Islands over the next couple days, though they’re likely to weaken later.
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Central Pacific
NHC text discussion
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM HST Tue Jul 14 2026 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Well South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (CP91): A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing very little shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development over the next couple of days while the system remains nearly stationary. The disturbance is expected to move into less favorable environmental conditions later this week, likely ending its chances for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Well Southwest of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90): A trough of low pressure located well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands and several hundred miles south-southeast of Johnston Island continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and the system could become a tropical depression later this week while it moves slowly northwestward toward the vicinity of Johnston Island. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Gibbs NNNN