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Hurricane Risk for Nassau, BS

No tropical storms currently threaten New Providence Island. The next one could form quickly though — get alerts before they make the news.

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On this page
  1. By the numbers
  2. Most recent hurricane
  3. Strongest ever
  4. Closest approach
  5. When hurricanes hit
  6. Recent notable storms
  7. Preparedness

Since 1854, 185 hurricanes and tropical storms have passed within 150 miles of Nassau. Here's what you should know.

Local note: Direct path of Atlantic storms recurving north and west — Nassau is exposed on all sides and has limited high ground. Storm surge from a near-direct hit can overwash much of the island.

By the numbers

Total storms
185
since 1854
Major (Cat 3+)
60
at closest approach
Hurricanes (Cat 1+)
109
all categories
County
Bahamas

Most recent hurricane

Imelda (2025)

Passed within 24 miles of Nassau on September 29, 2025. Peak intensity: Cat 1 (92 mph).

Strongest hurricane ever to pass nearby

Unnamed (1935)

Reached Cat 5 (184 mph) at its peak. Passed within 93 miles of Nassau.

Closest approach ever

Noel (2007)

Passed just 4.3 miles from Nassau on November 01, 2007.

When hurricanes hit Nassau

Distribution across the calendar year, based on every storm in the 150-mile radius since 1854:

Jan
0
Feb
0
Mar
0
Apr
0
May
5
Jun
10
Jul
12
Aug
47
Sep
55
Oct
42
Nov
14
Dec
0

Peak months are August through October, when the Atlantic season is most active. June, July, and November are secondary risk months.

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Recent notable storms (last 20 years)

Hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 200 miles in the last 20 years — these are the ones Nassau residents likely remember:

Storm Year Peak Closest Date
Imelda 2025 Cat 1 24 mi Sep 29, 2025
Melissa 2025 Cat 5 193 mi Oct 30, 2025
Nicole 2022 Cat 1 100 mi Nov 09, 2022
Isaias 2020 Cat 1 50 mi Aug 01, 2020
Sally 2020 Cat 2 82 mi Sep 11, 2020
Eta 2020 Cat 4 158 mi Nov 08, 2020
Dorian 2019 Cat 5 102 mi Sep 01, 2019
Humberto 2019 Cat 3 112 mi Sep 14, 2019
Irma 2017 Cat 5 192 mi Sep 09, 2017
Matthew 2016 Cat 5 26 mi Oct 06, 2016
Alex 2016 Cat 1 167 mi Jan 07, 2016
Kate 2015 Cat 1 104 mi Nov 09, 2015
Joaquin 2015 Cat 4 188 mi Oct 02, 2015
Sandy 2012 Cat 3 75 mi Oct 26, 2012
Isaac 2012 Cat 1 173 mi Aug 26, 2012
Irene 2011 Cat 3 53 mi Aug 25, 2011
Paula 2010 Cat 2 179 mi Oct 15, 2010
Hanna 2008 Cat 1 121 mi Sep 05, 2008
Paloma 2008 Cat 4 177 mi Nov 10, 2008
Noel 2007 Cat 1 4 mi Nov 01, 2007
Ernesto 2006 Cat 1 177 mi Aug 29, 2006

Preparedness

  1. Know your zone. Nassau sits in New Providence Island — look up your evacuation zone here.
  2. Get alerts early. Sign up below — we'll notify you when storms first form in the basin, not just when they're at your doorstep.
  3. Have 3+ days of supplies. Water (1 gal/person/day), non-perishable food, medications, flashlights, batteries, cash.
  4. Have an evacuation plan. Know where you'll go, how you'll get there, what you'll bring.
  5. Follow official orders. If your zone is told to evacuate, leave. Don't wait.