Hurricane Risk for Cabo San Lucas, MX
No tropical storms currently threaten Baja California Sur. The next one could form quickly though — get alerts before they make the news.
Get free alerts for Cabo San LucasOn this page
Since 1949, 201 hurricanes and tropical storms have passed within 200 miles of Cabo San Lucas. Here's what you should know.
By the numbers
Most recent hurricane
Raymond (2025)
Passed within 21 miles of Cabo San Lucas on October 12, 2025. Peak intensity: TS (57 mph).
Strongest hurricane ever to pass nearby
Rick (2009)
Reached Cat 5 (178 mph) at its peak. Passed within 118 miles of Cabo San Lucas.
Closest approach ever
Odile (2014)
Passed just 1.2 miles from Cabo San Lucas on September 15, 2014.
When hurricanes hit Cabo San Lucas
Distribution across the calendar year, based on every storm in the 200-mile radius since 1949:
Peak months are August through October, when the Atlantic season is most active. June, July, and November are secondary risk months.
Prep your supplies before the storm is named
Our alerts can notify you of a storm long before it makes the news, giving you more time to get what you need — instead of joining the panic-buying public.
Sign Up FreeRecent notable storms (last 20 years)
Hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 200 miles in the last 20 years — these are the ones Cabo San Lucas residents likely remember:
| Storm | Year | Peak | Closest | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorena | 2025 | Cat 1 | 102 mi | Sep 03, 2025 |
| Barbara | 2025 | Cat 1 | 184 mi | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Priscilla | 2025 | Cat 3 | 190 mi | Oct 08, 2025 |
| Flossie | 2025 | Cat 3 | 192 mi | Jul 03, 2025 |
| Norma | 2023 | Cat 4 | 14 mi | Oct 21, 2023 |
| Kay | 2022 | Cat 2 | 191 mi | Sep 08, 2022 |
| Olaf | 2021 | Cat 2 | 16 mi | Sep 10, 2021 |
| Enrique | 2021 | Cat 1 | 86 mi | Jun 30, 2021 |
| Pamela | 2021 | Cat 1 | 116 mi | Oct 13, 2021 |
| Nora | 2021 | Cat 1 | 187 mi | Aug 30, 2021 |
| Genevieve | 2020 | Cat 4 | 55 mi | Aug 20, 2020 |
| Lorena | 2019 | Cat 1 | 46 mi | Sep 20, 2019 |
| Bud | 2018 | Cat 4 | 16 mi | Jun 15, 2018 |
| Norma | 2017 | Cat 1 | 142 mi | Sep 17, 2017 |
| Newton | 2016 | Cat 1 | 51 mi | Sep 06, 2016 |
| Sandra | 2015 | Cat 4 | 85 mi | Nov 28, 2015 |
| Blanca | 2015 | Cat 4 | 92 mi | Jun 08, 2015 |
| Odile | 2014 | Cat 4 | 1 mi | Sep 15, 2014 |
| Polo | 2014 | Cat 1 | 91 mi | Sep 21, 2014 |
| Norbert | 2014 | Cat 3 | 93 mi | Sep 05, 2014 |
| Vance | 2014 | Cat 2 | 193 mi | Nov 05, 2014 |
| Erick | 2013 | Cat 1 | 55 mi | Jul 08, 2013 |
| Manuel | 2013 | Cat 1 | 125 mi | Sep 18, 2013 |
| Paul | 2012 | Cat 3 | 165 mi | Oct 16, 2012 |
| Dora | 2011 | Cat 4 | 179 mi | Jul 23, 2011 |
| Frank | 2010 | Cat 1 | 170 mi | Aug 29, 2010 |
| Jimena | 2009 | Cat 4 | 100 mi | Sep 02, 2009 |
| Rick | 2009 | Cat 5 | 118 mi | Oct 21, 2009 |
| Norbert | 2008 | Cat 4 | 149 mi | Oct 11, 2008 |
| Henriette | 2007 | Cat 1 | 25 mi | Sep 04, 2007 |
| Ivo | 2007 | Cat 1 | 63 mi | Sep 24, 2007 |
| John | 2006 | Cat 4 | 43 mi | Sep 02, 2006 |
| Paul | 2006 | Cat 2 | 44 mi | Oct 25, 2006 |
| Lane | 2006 | Cat 3 | 180 mi | Sep 16, 2006 |
Preparedness
- Know your zone. Cabo San Lucas sits in Baja California Sur — look up your evacuation zone here.
- Get alerts early. Sign up below — we'll notify you when storms first form in the basin, not just when they're at your doorstep.
- Have 3+ days of supplies. Water (1 gal/person/day), non-perishable food, medications, flashlights, batteries, cash.
- Have an evacuation plan. Know where you'll go, how you'll get there, what you'll bring.
- Follow official orders. If your zone is told to evacuate, leave. Don't wait.