DEMO MODE - Showing Historical Data from Hurricane Ian (September 28, 2022)

1

Active Storms

1

Hurricanes

1

Major (Cat 3+)

Above Normal

Activity Level

Active Tropical Systems

Hurricane Ian

Category 4 - 155 mph (936 mb)

Location: 26.5°N 82.0°W

Movement: NNE at 10 mph

Approaching Florida west coast with catastrophic impacts expected

Ian track
View Details

Atlantic Basin Outlook

Hurricane Ian continues to intensify as it approaches the Florida west coast. Catastrophic storm surge of 12-18 feet is expected along the coast from Englewood to Bonita Beach. No other tropical cyclone activity is expected in the Atlantic basin during the next 5 days.

Model Consensus Analysis

Model Consensus

Models are in excellent agreement on Ian making landfall near Fort Myers, Florida as a major hurricane. Track spread is only 50-75 miles at landfall.

Wind Probability Analysis

34 kt Wind Probabilities
34kt winds
50 kt Wind Probabilities
50kt winds
64 kt Wind Probabilities
64kt winds

Environmental Analysis

Sea Surface Temperatures

SSTs remain very warm (30-31°C) along Ian's path, providing ample fuel for continued intensification until landfall.

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Wind Shear Analysis

Low to moderate shear (10-15 kt) remains favorable for Ian to maintain major hurricane intensity through landfall.

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Latest Reconnaissance Data

NOAA Aircraft Mission Summary (1200 UTC):

  • Maximum Flight Level Winds: 167 mph
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 936 mb (extrapolated)
  • Eye Diameter: 15 nautical miles
  • Peak SFMR Surface Winds: 142 mph